--- title: "Prediction support, surface uncertainty, and contour uncertainty" description: "Distinguish geometric support, model-conditional uncertainty, method spread, and pointwise contour bands." output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Prediction support, surface uncertainty, and contour uncertainty} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r setup} library(potentiomap) data("synthetic_wells") p <- ps_make_points(synthetic_wells[1:16, ], "x", "y", "gw_elevation", "well_id", "EPSG:26916") fit <- suppressWarnings(ps_interpolate(p, methods = "OK", grid_res = 350, support = TRUE, return = "result")) ``` ```{r uncertainty} fit$support$summary u <- ps_surface_uncertainty(fit, approach = "kriging_variance") u$method_manifest band <- ps_contour_uncertainty(u, 168, method = "gaussian_pointwise", accept_gaussian = TRUE) band$level_manifest ``` Support categories are not confidence classes. Kriging variance is conditional on the fitted covariance model, and the contour product is pointwise rather than a simultaneous confidence region.